Political Survey says Wyden is vulnerable.
Oregon Senate Poll: Wyden is Vulnerable in 2010
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DATE: |
July 14, 2010 |
| TO: | Interested Parties |
| FROM: | Bob Moore |
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RE: |
Oregon Voter Survey Highlights |
Our recent survey of Oregon voters reveals that Senator Ron Wyden is vulnerable to a challenge from Republican candidate Jim Huffman. Here are key findings from the survey.
- A GOP candidate for U.S. Senator is favored by 37%, while a Democrat is favored by 36%, with the remaining 28% undecided. This is despite an 11-point Democrat edge over Republicans in voter registration.
- Just 44% believe Ron Wyden deserves reelection today, while 45% prefer a new person and 11% are unsure if they favor Wyden’s reelection.
- After hearing a series of statements about the candidates’ backgrounds and views, Huffman moves into a 47-38% lead over Wyden.
The reelection of a long-term Democrat incumbent in Oregon is not a foregone conclusion – Oregon voters mirror national voter attitudes on a variety of key issues.
- Oregonians are pessimistic about the direction of the country and looking for change; 59% believe the country is on the wrong track, while only 29% believe things are generally headed in the right direction.
- President Barack Obama suffers from a negative image in the state; 45% approve and 50% disapprove of his performance.
- A plurality of Oregon voters support repeal of the Obama health care legislation (45-40%) and six-in-ten voters support Arizona’s immigration law (60-34%).
Wyden is vulnerable today not only because he is an incumbent U.S. Senator in an election year where many voters are demanding a change in congressional leadership, but also because his voting history is at odds with Oregonians on a variety of issues, including federal spending and the deficit, Cap and Trade, health care reform, handling terrorists and illegal immigrants. Huffman is in a position to retire Senator Wyden because his views on these issues are more in-line with the mainstream of the Oregon electorate.
The survey was conducted for Huffman for Senate on July 9-10, 2010 among a representative sample of 500 likely voters in Oregon. The potential sampling error is plus or minus 4% at the 95% confidence level.
Please let me know if you have any questions.
Bob Moore
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