Oregon Senate Poll: Wyden is Vulnerable in 2010
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DATE: |
July 14, 2010 |
| TO: | Interested Parties |
| FROM: | Bob Moore |
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RE: |
Oregon Voter Survey Highlights |
Our recent survey of Oregon voters reveals that Senator Ron Wyden is vulnerable to a challenge from Republican candidate Jim Huffman. Here are key findings from the survey.
- A GOP candidate for U.S. Senator is favored by 37%, while a Democrat is favored by 36%, with the remaining 28% undecided. This is despite an 11-point Democrat edge over Republicans in voter registration.
- Just 44% believe Ron Wyden deserves reelection today, while 45% prefer a new person and 11% are unsure if they favor Wyden’s reelection.
- After hearing a series of statements about the candidates’ backgrounds and views, Huffman moves into a 47-38% lead over Wyden.
The reelection of a long-term Democrat incumbent in Oregon is not a foregone conclusion – Oregon voters mirror national voter attitudes on a variety of key issues.
- Oregonians are pessimistic about the direction of the country and looking for change; 59% believe the country is on the wrong track, while only 29% believe things are generally headed in the right direction.
- President Barack Obama suffers from a negative image in the state; 45% approve and 50% disapprove of his performance.
- A plurality of Oregon voters support repeal of the Obama health care legislation (45-40%) and six-in-ten voters support Arizona’s immigration law (60-34%).
Wyden is vulnerable today not only because he is an incumbent U.S. Senator in an election year where many voters are demanding a change in congressional leadership, but also because his voting history is at odds with Oregonians on a variety of issues, including federal spending and the deficit, Cap and Trade, health care reform, handling terrorists and illegal immigrants. Huffman is in a position to retire Senator Wyden because his views on these issues are more in-line with the mainstream of the Oregon electorate.
The survey was conducted for Huffman for Senate on July 9-10, 2010 among a representative sample of 500 likely voters in Oregon. The potential sampling error is plus or minus 4% at the 95% confidence level.
Please let me know if you have any questions.
Bob Moore
Moore Information
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I spent the last few days in Eastern Oregon in a place called Mitchell. I was there following the campaign for Allen Alley. Allen is running for Governor. He’s currently walking, yes, walking across the state (Baker City to Portland) and has hired me to shoot a few stories for him. Allen is a good man and I had a great time. This is just a tease, not the real story, but one to get you interested. Hope it works.
